India Cold Wave Forecast: Conditions Likely in Madhya Pradesh, Haryana, Rajasthan, and Chhattisgarh Until November 15</h1> <p>New Delhi, November 11, 2025 – The India Meteorological Department has indicated that cold wave conditions are expected to continue in isolated pockets of Madhya Pradesh, south Haryana, northeast Rajasthan, and Chhattisgarh from November 11 to 15. Additionally, isolated heavy rainfall is anticipated over Tamil Nadu on November 11 and 12, and over Kerala and Mahe on November 11.</p>
Weather Observed in the Past 24 Hours
In the 24 hours ending at 0830 hours IST on November 11, 2025, cold wave to severe cold wave conditions were present over some parts of West Madhya Pradesh and isolated parts of East Madhya Pradesh. Cold wave conditions also occurred in isolated pockets of Haryana and Chhattisgarh. Temperatures were appreciably below normal over the remaining parts of these states.
Cold day conditions were noted in isolated pockets of East Madhya Pradesh. Dense fog was observed at isolated places over Odisha, while moderate fog appeared at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh. Shallow fog conditions were reported at isolated places over Assam and Meghalaya, Uttar Pradesh, Haryana Chandigarh and Delhi, and Himachal Pradesh.
Minimum temperatures ranged from 7 to 10 degrees Celsius at many places over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad, at a few places over Punjab and Himachal Pradesh, and at isolated places over north Haryana, Uttarakhand, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, and Uttar Pradesh.
Minimum temperature departures were below normal by -1.6 to -3.0 degrees Celsius at many places over East Rajasthan and Marathwada, at a few places over East Uttar Pradesh, and at isolated places over Gujarat Region. They were appreciably below normal by -5.0 to -3.1 degrees Celsius at many places over Vidarbha and at a few places over North Interior Karnataka. Markedly below normal departures of less than -5.0 degrees Celsius occurred at most places over East Madhya Pradesh. The lowest minimum temperature recorded was 6.5 degrees Celsius at Adampur in Punjab over the plains of India.
Significant rainfall amounts recorded in centimeters from 0830 hours IST of yesterday to 0830 hours IST of today included Mandapam in Ramanathapuram district with 5, Cheranmahadevi in Tirunelveli district with 3, and Kamudhi in Ramanathapuram district with 2, all in Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, and Karaikal.
Ongoing Weather Systems and Rainfall Forecast
An upper air cyclonic circulation was present over Tripura and neighbourhood in lower tropospheric levels. Another upper air cyclonic circulation lay over southeast Arabian Sea off the south Kerala coast in lower tropospheric levels.
Under the influence of these systems, light to moderate rainfall or thunderstorm at most or many places with isolated heavy rainfall is very likely over Tamil Nadu on November 11 and 12, and over Kerala and Mahe on November 11. Thunderstorm with lightning is very likely over Tamil Nadu during November 11 to 12, and over Kerala and Mahe on November 11.
Temperature Forecast and Cold Wave Warnings
Cold wave to severe cold wave conditions are very likely over Madhya Pradesh during November 11 to 12, and cold wave conditions in isolated pockets during November 13 to 15. Cold wave conditions are very likely to prevail in isolated pockets over south Haryana, northeast Rajasthan, and Chhattisgarh during November 11 to 15. No large change in minimum temperature is likely over northwest, central, and east India during the next 6 to 7 days.
Weather Outlook for Delhi and NCR
In the past 24 hours over Delhi, there has been no significant change in minimum and maximum temperatures. The maximum temperatures were around 25 to 27 degrees Celsius, and minimum temperatures were around 10 to 11 degrees Celsius. Minimum temperatures were appreciably below normal by -3.0 to -4.0 degrees Celsius over most places and markedly below normal by -5.0 to -6.0 degrees Celsius at isolated places. Maximum temperatures were below normal by -1.0 to -3.0 degrees Celsius at many places and appreciably below normal by -3.0 to -4.0 degrees Celsius at isolated places over Delhi.
Shallow fog was reported at Safdarjung and Palam airport. Safdarjung airport recorded the lowest visibility of 600 meters from 0630 hours IST to 0830 hours IST on November 11, 2025, which improved to 700 meters at 0900 hours IST. Palam airport recorded the lowest visibility of 700 meters from 0800 hours IST to 0930 hours IST on November 11, 2025, which improved to 800 meters at 1000 hours IST. Mainly clear sky conditions with predominant surface wind from the west direction at up to 08 kmph prevailed during the past 24 hours. Mainly clear sky conditions with calm wind in early morning hours gradually increasing to up to 10 kmph from the southwest direction prevailed over the region in the forenoon today.
For November 11, 2025: Mainly clear sky with mist or haze during night. Maximum temperatures in the range of 26 to 28 degrees Celsius, below normal by 1 to 2 degrees Celsius. Predominant surface wind likely from the northwest direction at up to 20 kmph during afternoon hours, decreasing to less than 10 kmph from the northwest direction during evening and night.
For November 12, 2025: Mainly clear sky with smog or shallow fog during morning hours. Maximum and minimum temperatures likely in the range of 26 to 28 degrees Celsius and 10 to 12 degrees Celsius respectively. Minimum temperatures below normal by -1 to -3 degrees Celsius over most places and appreciably below normal by -3 to -4 degrees Celsius at isolated places. Maximum temperature below normal by up to 1 to 2 degrees Celsius. Predominant surface wind likely from the northwest direction at up to 15 kmph during morning hours, gradually increasing to up to 20 kmph from the northwest direction in the afternoon, decreasing to less than 12 kmph from the northwest direction during evening and night.
For November 13, 2025: Mainly clear sky with mist or haze during morning hours. Maximum and minimum temperatures likely in the range of 26 to 28 degrees Celsius and 10 to 12 degrees Celsius respectively. Minimum temperatures below normal by -1 to -3 degrees Celsius over most places and appreciably below normal by -3 to -4 degrees Celsius at isolated places. Maximum temperature below normal by up to 1 to 2 degrees Celsius. Predominant surface wind likely from the northwest direction at up to 15 kmph during morning hours, increasing to up to 20 kmph from the northwest direction in the afternoon, decreasing to less than 10 kmph from the northwest direction during evening and night.
For November 14, 2025: Mainly clear sky with mist or haze during morning hours. Maximum and minimum temperatures likely in the range of 25 to 27 degrees Celsius and 09 to 11 degrees Celsius respectively. Minimum temperatures below normal by -2 to -3 degrees Celsius over most places and appreciably below normal by -3 to -4 degrees Celsius at isolated places. Maximum temperature below normal by up to 1 to 3 degrees Celsius. Predominant surface wind likely from the northwest direction at up to 10 kmph during morning hours, increasing to less than 15 kmph from the northwest direction in the afternoon, decreasing to less than 08 kmph from the northwest direction during evening and night.
Expected Impacts and Suggested Actions for Cold Wave
Cold wave to severe cold wave conditions are very likely over Madhya Pradesh on November 11 to 12. Expected impacts include an increased likelihood of illnesses like flu, running or stuffy nose, or nosebleed due to prolonged exposure to cold. Shivering should not be ignored as it is the first sign of body heat loss, and individuals should move indoors. Frostbite can occur with prolonged exposure, causing skin to turn pale, hard, and numb, with eventual black blisters on exposed parts such as fingers, toes, nose, or earlobes. Severe frostbite requires immediate medical attention.
Impacts may also affect agriculture, crops, livestock, water supply, transport, and power sector at some places.
Suggested actions include wearing several layers of loose fitting, lightweight, warm woollen clothing. Cover head, neck, hands, and toes as majority of heat loss occurs through these body parts. Eat vitamin-C rich fruits and vegetables and drink sufficient fluids, preferably warm, to maintain adequate immunity. Avoid or limit outdoor activities. Keep dry, and if wet, change clothes immediately to prevent loss of body heat. Wear insulated or waterproof shoes. Warm affected areas slowly with lukewarm water and do not rub the skin vigorously. If the affected skin turns black, consult a doctor immediately. Maintain ventilation while using heaters to avoid inhaling toxic fumes. Take safety measures while using electrical and gas heating devices. Extreme care is needed for vulnerable people. Seek medical attention as soon as possible for someone suffering from frostbite or hypothermia. Protect livestock from cold weather.
Agricultural and Livestock Advisories
For likely impact of heavy rainfall in Tamil Nadu, harvest matured rice and groundnut crops only during clear weather and store the harvested produce in safer places. Make arrangements to drain out excess water from fields of rice, sugarcane, cotton, black gram, maize, and vegetables, and from plantations of coconut, banana, and black pepper to avoid water stagnation. Provide support to banana plants with wooden poles to prevent them from falling.
In Haryana, East Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, and Chhattisgarh, apply light and frequent irrigation to standing crops in the evening to protect them from low temperature stress or cold injuries. Use mulching and cover vegetable nurseries and young fruit plants with straw or polythene sheets to maintain optimum soil temperature.
For livestock and fishery, keep animals inside the shed during heavy rainfall and provide them balanced feed. Store feed and fodder in a safe place to prevent spoilage. Construct an outlet with proper netting around ponds to drain out excess water, preventing fish from escaping in case of overflow. Keep cattle inside sheds during night and provide dry bedding to protect them from cold.
For likely impact of thunderstorm or gusty winds, provide mechanical support to horticultural crops and staking or support to vegetables and young fruit plants or fruit-bearing plants to avoid lodging due to strong winds.
Legends and abbreviations: Heavy Rain is 64.5-115.5 mm; Very Heavy Rain is 115.6-204.4 mm; Extremely Heavy Rain is greater than 204.4 mm. Obsy means Observatory; Automatic Weather Station; ARG means Automatic Rain Gauge; dist means District; NH means National Highway; KVK means Krishi Vigyan Kendra; DVC means Damodar Valley Corporation; PTO means Part Time Office; Aero means Aerodrome; IAF means Indian Air Force.
Region wise classification of meteorological Sub-Divisions: Northwest India includes Western Himalayan Region (Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand); Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi; West Uttar Pradesh, East Uttar Pradesh, West Rajasthan and East Rajasthan. Central India includes West Madhya Pradesh, East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh. East India includes Bihar, Jharkhand, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim; Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha and Andaman and Nicobar Islands. Northeast India includes Arunachal Pradesh, Assam and Meghalaya and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura. West India includes Gujarat Region, Saurashtra and Kutch, Konkan and Goa, Madhya Maharashtra and Marathawada. South India includes Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Yanam, Telangana, Rayalaseema, Coastal Karnataka, North Interior Karnataka, South Interior Karnataka, Kerala and Mahe, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal and Lakshadweep.