The India Meteorological Department has issued forecasts indicating cold wave to severe cold wave conditions in isolated pockets of West Madhya Pradesh from November 10 to 12, 2025. Cold wave conditions are also very likely in isolated pockets of Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi, and Uttar Pradesh from November 10 to 12; East Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh from November 10 to 14; West Madhya Pradesh on November 13 and 14; Vidarbha on November 12 and 13; Jharkhand and Odisha on November 11 and 12.
Isolated heavy rainfall is very likely over Tamil Nadu on November 12 and 13; over Kerala and Mahe on November 10 and 11; and over Lakshadweep on November 10.
Recent Weather Observations
In the past 24 hours ending at 0830 hours IST on November 10, 2025, heavy rainfall between 7 and 11 cm was recorded at isolated places over Kerala. Cold wave to severe cold wave conditions prevailed in isolated pockets of West Madhya Pradesh and East Rajasthan, while cold wave conditions occurred in isolated pockets of Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, and Chhattisgarh.
Weather Systems and Predictions
An upper air cyclonic circulation over eastcentral Bay of Bengal was positioned over central Bay of Bengal in the lower tropospheric level. Another upper air cyclonic circulation was over south Bangladesh and neighbourhood in the lower tropospheric level. A third upper air cyclonic circulation was over North interior Tamil Nadu and neighbourhood in the lower tropospheric level.
Under these influences, light to moderate rainfall or thunderstorm at most or many places with isolated heavy rainfall is very likely over Tamil Nadu on November 12 and 13; over Kerala and Mahe on November 10 and 11; and over Lakshadweep on November 10. Thunderstorm with lightning is very likely over Tamil Nadu from November 10 to 14; over Kerala and Mahe, and Lakshadweep on November 10 and 11.
Temperature Forecasts and Warnings
No large change in minimum temperature is expected over Northeast and east India during the next 5 days. No large change in minimum temperature over Northwest India during the next 4-5 days, with minimum temperature below normal by 2-3 degrees Celsius during the period. No large change in minimum temperature over Maharashtra and Gujarat during the next 3 days. A fall in minimum temperature over Telangana by 3-4 degrees Celsius is expected for 2-3 days, with no large change thereafter during the subsequent 4 days.
Minimum temperatures in the past 24 hours till 0830 hours IST on November 10 were in the range of 7-10 degrees Celsius at many places over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad, at a few places over Punjab and Himachal Pradesh, and at isolated places over north Haryana, Uttarakhand, East Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Madhya Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, and Uttar Pradesh.
Minimum temperature departures were markedly below normal by minus 5.1 degrees Celsius or less at a few places over Vidarbha, and at isolated places over East Rajasthan, East Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Marathwada, Madhya Maharashtra, Telangana, North Interior Karnataka, and Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi. They were appreciably below normal by minus 5.0 to minus 3.1 degrees Celsius at a few places over Gujarat state, and at isolated places over East Uttar Pradesh and West Madhya Pradesh. Below normal by minus 3.0 to minus 1.6 degrees Celsius at many places over Punjab, West Rajasthan, Gangetic West Bengal, Jharkhand, Konkan and Goa; at a few places over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad, Rayalaseema, and South Interior Karnataka; and at isolated places over Bihar and Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Yanam. Above normal by 1.6 to 3.0 degrees Celsius at a few places over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim, and at isolated places over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam and Meghalaya, and Himachal Pradesh. The lowest minimum temperature of 7.5 degrees Celsius was reported at Adhampur IAF in Punjab over the plains of India.
Weather Outlook for Delhi and NCR
In the past 24 hours over Delhi, there was a fall in minimum temperatures up to 1 degree Celsius and no large change in maximum temperatures. Maximum temperatures were around 25 to 28 degrees Celsius, and minimum temperatures were 10 to 12 degrees Celsius. Minimum temperatures were appreciably below normal by minus 3 to minus 4 degrees Celsius over most places and markedly below normal by minus 5 to minus 6 degrees Celsius at isolated places. Maximum temperatures were below normal by 1 to 4 degrees Celsius. Mainly clear sky conditions with predominant surface wind from the west direction at a speed up to 15 kmph prevailed. Mainly clear sky conditions with a wind speed of up to 10 kmph from the southwest direction prevailed in the forenoon.
On November 10, 2025, mainly clear sky with mist or haze during night is expected. Maximum temperatures in the range of 27 to 29 degrees Celsius, below normal by 1 to 2 degrees Celsius. Predominant surface wind from the northwest direction with a speed up to 15 kmph during afternoon hours, decreasing to less than 10 kmph from the northwest during evening and night.
On November 11, mainly clear sky with smog or shallow fog during morning hours. Maximum and minimum temperatures likely in the range of 27 to 29 degrees Celsius and 10 to 12 degrees Celsius respectively. Minimum temperatures below normal by minus 2 to minus 3 degrees Celsius over most places and appreciably below normal by minus 3 to minus 4 degrees Celsius at isolated places. Maximum temperature below normal up to 1 to 2 degrees Celsius. Predominant surface wind from the northwest direction up to 10 kmph during morning, increasing to up to 20 kmph in the afternoon, decreasing to less than 10 kmph during evening and night.
On November 12, mainly clear sky with mist or haze during morning hours. Maximum and minimum temperatures likely in the range of 27 to 29 degrees Celsius and 9 to 11 degrees Celsius respectively. Minimum temperatures below normal by minus 2 to minus 3 degrees Celsius over most places and appreciably below normal by minus 3 to minus 4 degrees Celsius at isolated places. Maximum temperature below normal up to 1 to 2 degrees Celsius. Predominant surface wind from the northwest direction up to 10 kmph during morning, increasing to up to 20 kmph in the afternoon, decreasing to less than 10 kmph during evening and night.
On November 13, mainly clear sky with mist or haze during morning hours. Maximum and minimum temperatures likely in the range of 26 to 28 degrees Celsius and 10 to 12 degrees Celsius respectively. Minimum temperatures below normal by minus 2 to minus 3 degrees Celsius over most places and appreciably below normal by minus 3 to minus 4 degrees Celsius at isolated places. Maximum temperature below normal up to 1 to 2 degrees Celsius. Predominant surface wind from the northwest direction up to 10 kmph during morning, increasing to less than 20 kmph in the afternoon, decreasing to less than 10 kmph during evening and night.
Expected Impacts and Suggested Actions
Due to cold wave to severe cold wave conditions, there is an increased likelihood of illnesses like flu, running or stuffy nose, or nosebleed from prolonged exposure to cold. Shivering should not be ignored as it is the first sign of body heat loss, and individuals should get indoors. Frostbite can occur from prolonged exposure, where skin turns pale, hard, and numb, eventually leading to black blisters on exposed parts such as fingers, toes, nose, or earlobes. Severe frostbite requires immediate medical attention. Impacts on agriculture, crop, livestock, water supply, transport, and power sector are possible at some places.
Suggested actions include wearing several layers of loose fitting, lightweight, warm woollen clothing. Cover head, neck, hands, and toes adequately as majority of heat loss occurs through these body parts. Eat vitamin-C rich fruits and vegetables and drink sufficient fluids, preferably warm, to maintain adequate immunity. Avoid or limit outdoor activities. Keep dry, and if wet, change clothes immediately to prevent loss of body heat. Wear insulated or waterproof shoes. Warm affected areas slowly with lukewarm water and do not rub the skin vigorously. If the affected skin turns black, consult a doctor immediately. Maintain ventilation while using heaters to avoid inhaling toxic fumes. Take safety measures while using electrical and gas heating devices. Extreme care is needed for vulnerable people. Seek medical attention as soon as possible for someone suffering from frostbite or hypothermia. Protect livestock from cold weather.
Agromet Advisories for Rainfall and Cold
In Tamil Nadu, harvest matured rice and groundnut crops only during clear weather and store the harvested produce in safer places. Make arrangements to drain out excess water from fields of rice, sugarcane, cotton, black gram, maize, and vegetables, and plantations of coconut, banana, and black pepper to avoid water stagnation.
In Punjab, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, and Jharkhand, apply light and frequent irrigation to standing crops in the evening to protect from low temperature stress or cold injuries. Use mulching and cover vegetable nurseries and young fruit plants with straw or polythene sheets to maintain optimum soil temperature.
Advisories for Livestock and Fishery
Keep animals inside the shed during heavy rainfall and provide them balanced feed. Store feed and fodder in a safe place to prevent spoilage. Construct an outlet with proper netting around ponds to drain out excess water, preventing fish from escaping in case of overflow. Keep cattle inside sheds during night and provide dry bedding to protect from cold.
Advisories for Thunderstorm and Winds
Provide mechanical support to horticultural crops and staking or support to vegetables and young fruit plants or fruit-bearing plants to avoid lodging due to strong winds.
Significant rainfall recorded in cm from 0830 hours IST of yesterday to 0830 hours IST of today includes: In Kerala and Mahe, Neyyattinkara in Thiruvananthapuram district 11; Thiruvananthapuram in Thiruvananthapuram district 3; Pirappancode AWS in Thiruvananthapuram district 2. In Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal, Kuzhithurai in Kanyakumari district 4; Pamban in Ramanathapuram district, Adayamadai in Kanyakumari district, Mullanginavillai in Kanyakumari district 3 each; Chittar in Kanyakumari district, Thirparappu in Kanyakumari district 2 each.
For more details, refer to the national weather bulletin, district-wise warnings, and fishermen warnings available on the respective IMD platforms.
