Important Facts
- A well-marked low-pressure area has formed over the northeast Bay of Bengal, extending to parts of the eastcentral Bay, Myanmar, and Bangladesh coasts, expected to shift north-northwest along these coasts for the next day.
- A Western Disturbance will affect northwest India on November 4 and 5, bringing light to moderate rain and possible snow in the Western Himalayas.
- Heavy rainfall measuring 7 to 11 cm occurred at isolated spots in Saurashtra and Kutch in the last 24 hours, with Anjar in Kutch recording 8 cm.
- Thunderstorms with lightning and winds up to 40-50 kmph are forecast for Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad on November 4, and lightning in Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand on the same day.
- South Peninsular India faces light to moderate rain with isolated heavy falls in Tamil Nadu from November 4 to 6, extending to other areas like Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka until early next week.
- No major change in minimum temperatures for northwest India and Madhya Pradesh in the next 24 hours, but a drop of 2-4°C is likely over the following three days.
- Fishermen should avoid the Andaman Sea, northeast and eastcentral Bay of Bengal, and areas off Bangladesh and Myanmar coasts from November 4 to 9 due to rough seas.
- Delhi-NCR will see partly clear skies with mist from November 4 evening, maximum temperatures around 28-30°C on November 4, cooling slightly to 27-29°C by November 6 and 7.
- Agricultural advice includes providing support to horticultural and vegetable crops to prevent damage from strong winds and heavy rain.
- Upper air cyclonic circulations are active over south Bangladesh, westcentral Bay off Coastal Andhra Pradesh, and north Haryana, influencing local weather patterns.
Current Weather Systems Shaping the Skies
In the latest IMD Weather Update November 2025, meteorologists note several active systems driving precipitation across the country. The low-pressure area that emerged yesterday from the eastcentral Bay of Bengal has intensified into a well-marked feature by early morning today. Positioned over the northeast Bay of Bengal and nearby stretches of the eastcentral Bay, it touches the coasts of Myanmar and Bangladesh. This system is set to track north-northwest, hugging the Myanmar-Bangladesh shoreline for the coming 24 hours, potentially stirring up moisture that could feed into regional rains.
Adding to this, an upper air cyclonic circulation persists over southern Bangladesh and surrounding zones in the lower troposphere. Another such circulation hovers over the westcentral Bay of Bengal, just off the Coastal Andhra Pradesh shoreline, at similar heights. Up north, a circulation influences north Haryana and its vicinity. The Western Disturbance, manifesting as a cyclonic circulation over northern Pakistan with a trough extending along longitude 68°E north of latitude 30°N in the middle troposphere, will play a key role in northwest weather.
Impacts on Northwest India
Residents in the northwest, particularly along the Western Himalayan Region, can expect isolated to scattered light or moderate rainfall, with chances of snowfall in higher reaches on November 4 and 5. Adjoining plains may see light showers during this period. Beyond the rain, thunderstorms accompanied by lightning and gusty winds reaching 40-50 kmph are probable in Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad on November 4. Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand might witness lightning strikes on the same day, urging caution for outdoor activities.
Regional Breakdown of Expected Conditions
Moving westward, West India braces for thunderstorms with lightning over Konkan and Goa on November 5 and 6, while Madhya Maharashtra could experience similar activity from November 4 through 6. In Central India, East Madhya Pradesh has a likelihood of thunderstorms with lightning on November 4.
The Northeast India region, including Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura, is poised for thunderstorms with lightning on November 4 and 5. This could disrupt daily routines and travel in these hilly terrains.
South Peninsular India in Focus
Southern parts of the country dominate the forecast with more intense activity. Tamil Nadu is set for light to moderate rainfall or thunderstorms at most places, with isolated heavy downpours from November 4 to 6. The pattern continues with light to moderate rain or thunderstorms at many spots in Tamil Nadu until November 8, and at some places in Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Yanam, and Rayalaseema from November 4 to 6. North Interior Karnataka may see similar weather on November 4 and 5, South Interior Karnataka from November 4 to 7, and Coastal Karnataka on November 6 and 7. Telangana could face lightning and gusty winds of 30-40 kmph on November 4.
These forecasts underscore the need for preparedness in urban and rural areas alike, especially where heavy rain might lead to waterlogging or landslides in vulnerable spots.
Temperature Trends and Daily Outlook
Minimum temperatures across northwest India and Madhya Pradesh are unlikely to shift much in the next 24 hours, but a gradual cooling of 2-4°C is anticipated over the subsequent three days. This dip could bring a touch of winter’s chill to these areas, affecting early morning commutes.
Delhi-NCR Specifics from November 4 to 7
For the capital region, the past 24 hours showed no sharp changes in maximum temperatures, which hovered between 29 and 31°C, near normal levels. Minimums ranged from 15 to 18°C, also close to average, under mostly clear skies with westerly winds up to 16 kmph. This morning brought partly clear conditions with southeasterly breezes at 8 kmph.
Ahead, November 4 promises partly clear skies turning misty or hazy by evening, with highs of 28-30°C, about 1-2°C below normal. Southeasterly winds up to 15 kmph are expected in the afternoon, easing to under 10 kmph by night. On November 5, mainly clear skies with mist or haze prevail; highs at 29-31°C near normal, lows at 16-18°C, 1-3°C above normal. Winds start southeasterly at 10 kmph in the morning, pick up to 15 kmph in the afternoon, then shift northwest and drop below 10 kmph at night.
November 6 brings mainly clear conditions with morning mist or shallow fog; highs drop to 27-29°C, 1-2°C below normal, lows at 15-17°C, 1-2°C above normal. Northwesterly winds hold at 10 kmph throughout the day and evening. By November 7, mist or shallow fog lingers in the morning under clear skies; highs and lows at 27-29°C and 14-16°C, both near normal, with northwesterly winds up to 10 kmph morning, under 15 kmph afternoon, and below 10 kmph at night.
Guidance for Farmers and Coastal Communities
Agricultural stakeholders should note the potential for heavy rain and gusty winds. To safeguard crops, mechanical supports for horticultural varieties, staking for vegetables, and bolstering young fruit plants are recommended to counter lodging risks.
This IMD Weather Update November 2025 serves as a reminder of India’s diverse climate, where systems from the Bay and western fronts converge to create a mosaic of conditions. As the week unfolds, keeping an eye on local updates will help navigate these shifts safely. With rains nourishing parched lands in the south and a preview of cooler days up north, the season transitions steadily into November’s embrace.